How To Survive A Bear Market
You’ve doubtlessly already heard about the terms ‘bull market’ and ‘bear market’. What do these really mean? A bear market is simply when you have a drop in a large number of share prices over a relatively long period of time. Traders normally talk about a bear market when prices have dropped at least 20% over a period of no less than two months. As more and more people sell their stocks, market prices are pushed down even further.
A bull market is exactly the opposite of a bear. Prices start rising and continue to rise with more than twenty percent for more than two months. Just as pessimism drives a market with dropping prices even further down, optimism drives a bull market upwards.
You shouldn’t get confuse a declining market and a normal market correction. A market correction happens after a sudden increase in the price level when people sell their stocks to take profit. It normally doesn’t last more than a few days.
It’s easy to see how one can make money in a bull market. In fact, it’s hard not to make money in such a market. But how can you make money in a declining market?
One such way is if you could accurately predict the end of the falling market and then buy a selection of top quality stock tips. Although you can use a variety of fundamental and technical indicators to help you with predicting the turning point, it remains very difficult. Even the best of traders often fail to correctly predict the turning point of a slumping market.
A further option you have is to sell stocks short. What happens in effect is that you borrow stocks from your brokerage and then sell them to another trader at the current (high) price. Once the negative market has taken its toll and the price of the stock is much lower, you buy it again and give back what you borrowed from the brokerage. It will of course only work if the market actually goes down.
A further course of action is to buy so-called put options, which increase in price when the market declines. Once again you have to be pretty sure it’s actually a bear market which is still in a declining phase, otherwise you will lose the money you risked on the option.
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July 14, 2010 No Comments
Stock Tips To Make You Money
If you want to earn a huge amount of money in a very short span of time then one of the best options is investing in the stock market. Here, your invested money can get multiplied in a very less time. But, nothing in this world comes free, so, in the stock market too you need to take a risk and face the probabilities of market fluctuations in every step. If you want to be successful in the stock market then at first you have to cross the hurdles of the risks involved. But, if you follow some stock tips then you can avoid a lot of these risks. You can get some of the best advices from the experienced traders of the stock market.
You should start by gathering all the information of the market before actually making an entry. You should not invest in such a business, trade or market which you don’t understand at all. If you don’t understand the technique of stock market then it would be better to gain as much knowledge as possible. Even after all this, if you still remain confused, then perhaps you would be better off by staying away from this highly speculative market.
You must follow the news of the stock market everyday, as this news will tell you its exact condition and this will help you to trade in a better way.
You must get a good broker who will not only charge you a nominal commission rate but at the same time will guide and help you to trade in a better manner.
You must enter the stock market when it is booming and the moment the market starts to fall, you must make a smooth exit. So, in a stock market you must know the exact time of your entry and exit. In fact this is one of the most important know-how of the stock market.
Also, you should know where you are investing and putting your money. You need to have full information. The stock market won’t remain that unfamiliar a territory, if you follow these stock tips closely.
For more on the stock market subscribe to our the free WallStreetWindow.com stock trading weekly newsletter.
May 2, 2010 No Comments
Fixing Trading Errors
When we are trading we will all from time to time make a mistake when forex trading and it is normal and sometimes can be looked upon as healthy, so as to know that the decisions will either make or break you. However, if this becomes severe to a point wherein you lose more than you can afford to, then you would have to take measures in order to avoid further damage. This is why when you are trading you must make sure that you only trade within your limits. If you can’t afford to lose it, don’t trade.
When trading you must make sure that you keep your emotions in tact, do not let them take over. If you let your emotions take over the result is more than likely to cause even more rash decisions and can cloud your strategies, producing even more disastrous results. You should aim for more positive months with good turnovers but face it; there are some periods wherein gain is not achievable.
Before trading you should make sure that you have a plan and part of that plan is to employ a money management technique; in case is where you went wrong the first time. You should always consider what your losses are going to be. Since most traders would tend to gamble as opposed to trade, instead of making a calculated risk, their bank accounts would be drained each time there is a loss. They don’t have a great capital management system which causes damaging effects. By managing the amount that you can afford to lose in thinking of all possibilities, you can be assured that you do not get bankrupt with forex.
You must make sure that you educate yourself as much as possible about the Forex Market, a great place for education lessons is the CFD FX REPORT They specialize in offering free Forex Education as well as helping you find the Best Forex Broker
Each trader has their own attitude towards forex trading and what risks they are personally prepared to take, but learning about the inherent principles can go a long way in helping you develop your own style and making you more successful in the long run . You can also develop a trading system and make sure to be disciplined enough to follow what you have created. Remember create the plan, plan the trade and trade the plan. You should have this next to your trading screen at all times and never forget it. Remember that since your money is involved and that you are not participating in the market just to lose it, you have to think objectively and learn to foresee the consequences of your decisions.
Do not associate loss with the feeling of being a loser, in order to be a successful trader you will take losses and the best traders can handle them. When trading you should know that you can’t pick the market 100% of the time, so there is going to be losses it is how you handle those losses to how successful you are. The forex market is an objective industry wherein sound decision-making and strategies are employed and not about judging your emotional capabilities and dealing with them. If you can’t handles losses, or losing money, do yourself a favor and don’t trade.
April 16, 2009 No Comments
Forex Report- Size Matters
One of the major mistakes that most traders will make will be the amount of capital that they place per trade. So how trade to ensure you become successful? Size is the Key The legendary commodities trader Ed Seykota, who turned $5,000 into $15 million over a period of 12 years, was teaching a class in technical trading to a college class some years ago when he decided to conduct an try out to illustrate to his students the value of money management, or position-sizing – that is, determining how much money you will risk on any single given trade – to the generic success of any dealer’s trading plan.
He said his class they were going to contend in a trading competition with each other. Each pupil would start with a theoretical equity stake of $100,000. The winner, of form, would be the student with the most money at the end of the competition. However, there was a catch: Each student would buy and sell the same stocks at the same right time, thinking those stocks would rise or fall exactly the same amount. In fact, Seykota pulled each “stock” out of a hat at the front of the room, and simply stated the students whether it had gone up or down and by how often.
How do you conduct a trading contest when everyone buys and sells the right same stocks at the correct same time? It is all about position-sizing – how often money you are willing to bet on each trade. After Seykota chose each stock, but before he declared whether it had gone up or down, each pupil was required to write down the amount of money he or she was willing to risk on that trade. They could risk as little or as often as they wanted.
The results of the contest provided quite an education for Seykota’s students – and should be remembered by anyone who puts their hard-earned money at risk in the market. By the end of the contest some of the students had lost their entire theoretical stake and were completely “broke”. Others had come out about even, making a little money or losing a little money. But a few of the best students – the best traders – had turned that hypothetical $100,000 into over $1 million!
Think about it: Two traders start with the same amount of money and buy and sell the exact same stocks at the right same time. One goes broke. The other makes 1,000%! Therein lies the secret to survival, and ultimately success, as a trader. All the great traders will tell you that position-sizing is the individual most important factor in their success.
So how often should you risk on any single trade – in other words, how much should you be willing to lose? It is best to risk a fixed percent of your account value on every trade, and not vary that percentage from trade to trade. What that percent should be depends on several critical factors. The most critical are your win-loss ratio, the size of your average win and the size of your average loss. Given these three numbers, your position sizing will determine whether you live or die as a dealer.
The point of position-sizing is to be sure that you don’t break the bank during a losing streak. Even a random coin toss can produce 10 tails consecutively, so make no mistake that even the best traders suffer through losing streaks of equal length. If you risk, say 10% of your account on every trade, and your average loss is 7%, a losing streak of 10 in a row could be devastating. On the other hand, if you are a day trader and your average loss is .5%, you can risk more money on each trade without worrying about a losing streak taking you out of the game.
Seykota says he never risks more than 5% of his account on any single trade. some other highly successful traders think risking anything more than 3% of your account on a individual trade makes you a “cowboy”. A good starting point for beginning traders is probably 1% of your account. The added advantage of lower risk for beginners is that it helps minimize the emotions that often interfere with good trading.
For a detailed discussion of position-sizing, we highly recommend Van Tharp’s book “Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom”. An internationally renowned trading coach, Tharp was profiled along with Seykota in “Market Wizards”, Jack Schwager’s classic collection of profiles of some of the most brilliant traders and trading minds of all time.
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April 15, 2009 No Comments
Trading strategies of the Pro’s
This article focuses on building up solid forex profits using proven long term trading strategies. If you look at any forex chart, you will see long-term term trends that last for months or years. These moves can and do yield serious profit – present we will outline a simple method to get them.
Breakouts- Trading on Confirmation of Break outs
By far the best way of catching the serious moves is to use a forex trading strategy based around breakouts. A breakout is simply a move on a forex chart where a new high or low is made and resistance or support is broken.
It’s a fact that most leading moves start from new highs or lows. Right this an sit it next to your computer so that you don’t forget it.
While it might appear that you are not buying or selling at the greatest level, you are in terms of the odds of the trend continuing. Most forex traders make the mistake of waiting for the breakout to come back and get in at a better price but these traders never get on board. The grounds for this is if a breakout occurs, then you have a new strong trend and a pullback is not very likely to occur. So you will the boat and therefore profits.
Most traders don’t buy or sell breakouts and that’s exactly why it’s such a powerful method.
The only point to keep in mind is a support or resistance which is ruined, should be valid and that means at least 3 points in at least 2 different times frames. The more tests and the greater the spacing between the tests the more valid the level is.
Confirmation- Don’t Guess it, Confirm IT
Of course not every breakout keeps and some reverse, these are false and can cause losses. You therefore need to confirm each move. All you need to do to achieve this is to put a few momentum indicators in your forex trading system to confirm your dealing signal.
These indicators give you an estimation of the strength and velocity of price and there are many to choose from. We don’t have time to discuss them here (simply look up our other articles) but two of the greatest are – the stochastic and Relative Strength Index RSI
Stops and Targets
Stop points are easy with breakouts – Simply behind the breakout point.
If you have a serious trend then you need to be careful but you can milk it, so don’t move your stop to soon and keep it outside of normal volatility. If it is a huge move, trailing stops should be held a long-term way back and the 40 day moving average is a good level to use.
You have to keep in mind that when the trend does eventually turn you are going to give some profit back. You don’t know when the trend is going to end, so don’t predict it.
It’s ok to give a little bit back, as that’s the nature of trading forex. Keep in mind if you got 50% of all leading trend you would be very rich. When you are long-term term trend following you have accept giving a bit back and taking dips in open equity as the trend develops – this is noise and does not affect the long term trend.
The above is a simple way to trade forex and catch the high odds moves that yield the serious profit. If you are learning forex dealing and want a simple method that is robust and will help you get every major move, then you should base your dealing on the above method.
Now that you have all the winning strategies, you now need to have a winning broker, recently the CFD FX REPORT has reviewed these brokers and have come up with Best Forex Broker
Any trader serious about gaining extra knowledge and becoming a better trader should continue to educate themselves as great place for Free education lessons is the CFD FX REPORT they offer as host of great education lessons. You can also join there forum and chat to traders around the world, or visit there broker section and see who the expert recommend. This site is a must for anyone serious about trading.
February 17, 2009 No Comments
Plan the Trade and Trade the Plan Forex Trading
Despite all that you have read and all of those promises to make you a multi millionaire there is no system that will make you an instant millionaire in forex trading. You can increase your chances of success by implementing a great forex trading plan and to protect you from going broke.
When you start to dig deep into the Forex Market there are three simple time frames in which you can trade Forex.
- Short Term – Medium Term – Long Term
All of these strategies have their own advantages and disadvantages when it comes to Forex Trading. No one strategy is better than the other and it comes down to your personal opinion and what sort of risk taker that you are.
1. Short Term Trader. The short term Forex trader is known as the scalper or day trader and they are going to be trading very quick trades often buying and selling currencies back and forth many times throughout the day. Leveraging is required here to both make a profit and also protect your investment. Protecting your investment is done through stop loss and money management.
2. Medium Term Trader. The medium term forex trader will hold the currency from one day to one week. The big advantage of the medium term trader is that profit can be made on the least amount of capital invested. This is looking at more established trend lines and trading with wider stops.
3. Long Term Trader The Long Term forex trader or investor can hold the currencies from weeks to months and even years if they can see a direction for that currency. Leveraging is also required here as well as short term trading to both make a profit and also protect your investment
Where traders make the biggest mistake is start out as a short term trader, the trade will go against them and they then decide to hold on to this currency trade until it turns around so they are forced to become a medium term traders. What will normally happen is they will end up with a lot of bad trades and ultimately end up broke. So whatever your strategy is trade it and stick to it. So never start out a short term trader and end up a long term investor.
Tools of the Trade:
When trading on the Forex Markets most traders use Technical Analysis for finding trades. There are a number of technical analysis strategies that you can to help you become a profitable trader. Technical analysis can be used to monitor many indicators as well as the all important price activity. When you get to know more about your personal needs in Forex market, you can get programs that will bring together large amounts of the data that you want included in your analysis. You will be able to customise and organise your plans for your personal investment strategy.
The other advantage of being a long term trader is you isolate yourself from the huge swings as the markets are open for so long.
Every single Forex Trader should use the golden rule of using stop losses, as they will help you to protect your capital.
The take profit order is the same as stop/loss but will stop the order when it has reached the level that you have set to reap the benefits.
It is a dilemma because you do not want to curb your profits by putting a take profit on your order but unless you watch your account all day, the currency may drop like a stone and you may lose it all. It’s better to take little and often. You can never go broke from taking a profit.
Time to Trade, the advantage of the modern age is the internet, mobile phones where you can trade from anywhere in world. You can set up accounts with a broker, even use a demo account until you feel comfortable. When selecting a Forex Broker remember finding a great Forex Broker is an important as selecting a winning trade. If you are uncertain who is a great Forex Broker, visit the CFD FX REPORT as they have recently researched all the brokers to find who they believe to be the best Forex Broker in the market. They are some excellent education lessons to be learnt from them as well.
So if you wish to learn more on Forex Trading feel free to visit us to gain more knowledge on the Forex Trading.
February 15, 2009 No Comments